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Global growth forecast to slow to 1.9% in 2023
Published on: 2023-01-30
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The United Nations forecast Wednesday that global economic growth will fall significantly to 1.9% this year as a result of the food and energy crisis sparked by the war in Ukraine, the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, persistently high inflation and the climate emergency.
 

Painting a gloomy and uncertain economic outlook, the U.N. Department of Economic and Social Affairs said the current global economic slowdown “cuts across both developed and developing countries, with many facing risks of recession in 2023.”
 

“A broad-based and severe slowdown of the global economy looms large amid high inflation, aggressive monetary tightening, and heightened uncertainties,” U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres said in a foreword to the 178-page report.
 

The report said this year’s 1.9% economic growth forecast — down from an estimated 3% in 2022 — is one of the lowest growth rates in recent decades. But it projects a moderate pick-up to 2.7% in 2024 if inflation gradually abates and economic headwinds start to subside.
 

In its annual report earlier this month, the World Bank which lends money to poorer countries for development projects, cut its growth forecast nearly in half, from it previous projection of 3% to just 1.7%.
 

联合国报告预测2023年全球经济增速将放缓至1.9%

联合国25日发布《2023年世界经济形势与展望》报告。报告预测,受多重因素交汇影响,2023年世界经济增速将从2022年的约3%降至1.9%。
 

报告称,在新冠疫情、乌克兰危机、高通货膨胀和气候变化等影响下,2022年世界经济遭受重创,2023年世界经济继续承压,增速预计将放缓至1.9%,为数十年来增速最低的年份之一。如果一些宏观经济不利因素能够开始消退,世界经济增长将在2024年回升至2.7%。
 

报告称,世界经济增速放缓既影响发达国家,也波及发展中国家,许多国家在2023年面临经济衰退风险。2022年,美国、欧盟等发达经济体增长势头明显减弱。2023年,预计美国和欧盟的经济增速将分别放缓至0.4%和0.2%,日本为1.5%,英国和俄罗斯的经济则将分别萎缩0.8%和2.9%。

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