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REAL ESTATE: How Covid-19 is Making Us Rethink Our Lives (and Real Estate)
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How Covid-19 is Making Us Rethink Our Lives (and Real Estate) 

By Michael Hart

BT 202004 REAL 02The early months of 2020 have given Chinese residents plenty to think about. There was the fear of the Covid-19 virus, the stress of being stuck at home, and the concern for lost income for both employees and business owners. However, as things start to get back to normal, I predict there will be at least three ways we look at our work, our homes and our daily lives differently, and each of them will, in turn, impact real estate whether we realize it or not.
 

2020年开始的几个月人们有了很多思考的时间。人们担心病毒,担心家人担心收入减少等。随着环境开始恢复正常,我猜测至少人们会有与以往不同的方式来看待我们的工作,房产和日常生活,这些都将影响房地产。
 

Our Work
工作

BT 202004 REAL 01The most obvious impact is going to be how office-based employees look at work and how their employers think about their real estate costs. There has long been the concept that people need to be present to be effective, that the boss needs to see their staff every day. This crisis has pushed people and companies who otherwise would never have considered tele-commuting, i.e., working from home, to not only give it a try, but to make it work. Of course, there are plenty of examples over the past few weeks that show us we aren’t as productive at home surrounded by our families, but we have also learned how to make remote work at least partially successful.
 

And once kids start going back to school, employees could make that work from home experience even better. Nearly all of us would have seen our use of online meeting tools such as Zoom, or Microsoft Teams increase recently. We are all now slightly better mobile workers. We may be keen to get back to our offices, but as the subways and buses start to fill up and the traffic jams return, we may miss getting up ten minutes before we are supposed to clock in, and spending the day wearing our comfortable pyjamas. The impact on real estate is going to be that companies may start planning on reducing their real estate costs by allowing many employees to work from home, at least sometimes. Employees who never would have considered working from home, may now lobby for the opportunity. So, we are likely to see a reduction in demand for office space the next time companies renew their lease or plan a move.

BT 202004 REAL 03最明显的影响是办公室雇员的工作方式以及他们的雇主如何考虑其房地产成本。长期以来老板认为需要每天与员工见面,才能控制其工作效率。这场危机促使原本从不考虑远程工作的人员和公司也必须尝试,而且使之持续进行。对房地产的影响将是,公司可能在某些时候允许许多员工在家工作,从而开始计划降低房地产成本。因此我们很可能会看到对办公空间需求的减少。
 

Our Homes
家庭空间

BT 202004 REAL 05After having been stuck at home for weeks on end, everyone is feeling cabin fever. Humans are social creatures and they want to get out and get some exercise, meet friends and just get some distance from family members. A secret though is that some people are feeling a little less stressed than others after this experience, and it has to do with their homes. It is understandable that those who live in larger homes with more individual rooms that allow for doors to be closed and private space to be created are probably less stressed. However, the past few weeks have also shown that other amenities are very important. For example, a small apartment with a good view of the city or a park, or a balcony to stand on, is now going to be more highly valued. The same is true for apartment complexes that have central gardens and green spaces. The parks may have been closed, but some of my neighbours have been busy walking laps around our central garden which was still accessible.
 

在家里呆了几个星期后,每个人都感觉焦躁,但有些人的压力比其他人要少一些,这与他们的房屋大小有关。那些居住在较大的房屋中的人拥有更多的单独房间,私人空间更大,压力可能更小些。另外便利设施也非常重要,如可以观赏城市风景或城市花园的房子。
 

Education
教育

A student attends an online class at home as students return to school has been delayed due to the novel coronavirus outbreakA student attends an online class at home as students' return to school has been delayed due to the novel coronavirus outbreak

This impact applies mostly to families with children who will soon be back to the routine of the weekend mad dash. Chinese parents spend time on weekends taking their kids to maths, art, sports, language and other classes. It is normal for kids to have two or three classes a day on weekends, and there is a whole routine that involves getting them to those classes. This means fighting traffic jams, finding a place to park, or finding a taxi. The cycle repeats when one class ends and it is time to get kids off to the next class, usually in a new location. There is also the need to find a meal or snack in between classes.
 

The last few weeks have shown parents and schools that many of these physical classes can be converted to online ones. This reduces the stress of rushing halfway across town, allows for better meals to be made at home, and gives the kids a little more time to rest. The schools are also now realizing they can invest in better technology and reduce their rental cost for large, centrally located classrooms. The impact for real estate will be that landlords who have previously rented to educational groups will see demand decrease, and the restaurants and food vendors that count on these customers are going to see sales decline, so their own need for locations will then also decline.
 

Some educational facilities are likely to be less impacted. Parents with young kids who don’t get as much out of online classes will likely continue to sign up for physical classes. The same is true for art classes, music lessons and sports. With virtual reality, you can practice taekwondo at home, but it is still better learned and practiced with teachers and competitors in the same location. It is also hard to practice while learning to play musical instruments or to get a tip from an art teacher over the internet.
 

最近几周学生开始在线课,这减轻了通勤的压力,还可以在家中做饭,并给孩子更多的休息时间。学校也意识到可以投资更好的技术,减少大型教室的租金。对房地产的影响将是,教育团体的租赁需求将减少,相关的餐馆和食品供应商的销售额将下降。
 

Conclusion
总而言之

BT 202004 REAL 06A police officer wears a mask as he walks in front of the Oriental Pearl Tower in Lujiazui financial district

We are all happy that as the virus now seems to be under control in China, we can go back out and see our friends and colleagues and visit our favourite restaurants. However, I predict that over the next few months, many of us may also not be looking to return completely to our pre-virus routines. We may all want to work from home a little more often. Parents may want to avoid the weekend and evening rush to class by substituting a physical class with an online class for junior. And the next time we look to buy or rent an apartment, we may assign just a bit more value to that balcony or that nice view. So, without us even noticing it, those small changes in personal routine preferences are going to change the demand for real estate all across our cities.
 

我们很高兴看到新冠病毒在中国已得到控制,我们可以见朋友,并去我们最喜欢的餐馆。但我们可能没有注意到,个人常规偏好的这些微小变化也将改变我们整个城市对房地产的需求。


michaelAuthor: Michael Hart is the Managing Director of Griffin Business Management www.griffinbiz.com a real estate related consulting firm with offices in Tianjin.

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