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Boeing lifts China jet demand estimate over two decades to US$1.47 trillion
Published on: 2021-09-24
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Boeing Co on Thursday raised its forecast slightly for China's aircraft demand for the next 20 years, betting on the country's quick rebound from COVID-19 and future growth in its budget airline sector and e-commerce.
 

Chinese airlines will need 8,700 new airplanes through 2040, 1.2 percent higher than its previous prediction of 8,600 planes made last year. Those would be worth US$1.47 trillion based on list prices, the US planemaker said in a statement.
 

The 1.2 percent increase contrasted with the 6.3 percent growth Boeing forecast last year, which made China a bright spot in the aviation market at the height of coronavirus lockdowns worldwide.
 

Earlier this month, Boeing revised up long-term forecasts for global airplane demand on the back of a strong recovery in commercial air travel in domestic markets like the United States.
 

Boeing projected a need for nearly 6,500 new single-aisle airplanes over the next 20 years, while China's widebody fleet, including passenger and cargo models, will require 1,850 new planes, accounting for 20 percent of total deliveries.
 

波音估计未来20年中国需要8700架新飞机

美国飞机制造商波音23日小幅提高了对中国未来20年飞机需求的预估,押注中国将迅速走出疫情,以及未来中国廉价航空和电子商务的增长。波音在一份声明中称,到2040年中国航空业将需要8700架新飞机,比其去年预测的8600架高出1.2%。按标价计算,这些飞机价值1.47万亿美元。
 

尽管仍容易受到零星疫情暴发的影响,中国国内航空市场已经或多或少地回升到疫情前的水平,但国际航班的数量只有疫情前水平的2%。
 

波音预测中国在未来20年需要近6500架新的单通道飞机,而包括客运和货运机型在内的宽体机需求量为1850架,占总交付量的20%。
 

随着电子商务需求的蓬勃发展,航空货运市场已成为波音在中国的一个亮点,尽管这家美国飞机制造商因美中贸易关系紧张和737 MAX停飞而面临销售困难。中国民用航空局是首个停飞737 MAX飞机的监管机构,目前尚未批准该机型复飞。中国市场占波音飞机订单总数的1/4。

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