In a surprise move, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised its forecast for China’s 2023 gross domestic product (GDP) upward to 5.2 per cent, attributed to the nation’s full reopening in end of last year.
 

The world’s second-largest economy fell short of expectations last year as it grew by just 3 per cent. This marked the first time in more than 40 years that China’s GDP failed to reach the global average, which was roughly 3.4 per cent for 2022, the IMF said.
 

In contrast, the downward pressure on the global economy would be coming from the war in Ukraine and the inflation-driven spike in interest rates will slow global growth to 2.9 per cent this year from an estimated 3.4 per cent in 2022.
 

IMF上调2023年中国经济增长预期至5.2%

国际货币基金组织(IMF)当地时间30日发布《世界经济展望报告》更新内容，将2023年全球经济增长预期上调至2.9%，将中国经济增长预期上调至5.2%。
 

IMF预计，2022年全球经济增长率约为3.4%，2023年预计将降至2.9%，2024年将升至3.1%。
 

具体来看，发达经济体今年预计将增长1.2%，明年预计将增长1.4%。美国和欧元区经济预计今年将分别增长1.4%和0.7%，明年将分别增长1.0%和1.6%。新兴市场和发展中经济体今年预计将增长4%，明年将增长4.2%。中国经济预计今年将增长5.2%，高出此前预测值0.8个百分点，明年经济预计增长4.5%。
 

报告说，各国央行为抗击通胀采取的加息政策以及乌克兰危机对经济活动造成拖累。中国优化调整防疫政策为经济更快增长铺平道路，全球通胀形势也有望缓解。全球通胀率预计将从2022年的8.8%降至2023年的6.6%和2024年的4.3%，但仍高于疫情前约3.5%的水平。

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